The number on a row is not “did price hit a target.” It is a signed percent move from the Binance USDT-M last price at ingest to the last price after a wait that follows the signal’s timeframe.

Timeline of scoring horizons by timeframe
Official score waits for the horizon. The Live column on the feed is a preview and does not replace it.

The five rules

  1. Entry is fapi.binance.com last price, stored as entry_price when the row is saved (or backfilled within two days if the snapshot missed).
  2. Horizon is a function of timeframe: M15 → 4h, H1 → 8h, H4 → 24h, D1 → 72h. Other TFs have a matching wait; the default is 12 hours.
  3. Outcome % is ((mark − entry) / entry) × 100, then flipped for Short so a move in the trade’s favor is positive.
  4. Hit rate is scored rows with outcome % > 0, divided by all scored rows. A flat 0% is scored, not a win.
  5. Mean is the average of those signed percentages. It can sit near zero even when hit rate is around 50% — that is the usual shape of a mark-to-market book.

Right now the public book is 50.8% hit rate with a mean of -0.03% across 16,734 scored rows. Quiet desk (H1+ and majors) is 48.8% on a smaller sample. Those figures update as the 15-minute outcomes cron catches up.

Hit rate by timeframe (scored rows)M15 52.1%; H1 49.8%; H4 46.7%; H12 49.6%; D1 37.8%; M30 50%52.139.126130M15H1H4H12D1M30Hit rate by timeframe (scored rows)
M15 dominates sample size. Higher timeframes have fewer scored rows, so treat those buckets as noisier.

What the extras are for

After ingest we also snapshot about 4h and 24h, plus max adverse / favorable excursion from klines. Those fields are diagnostics. They do not change hit rate on /accuracy.

This is closer to how a research notebook marks a signal book than to how a futures bot would simulate TP/SL. If you need a path-dependent backtest, export CSV from the desk and run your own stops.

Public prints per day (last 30 days)Aug 2Sep 1Public prints per day (last 30 days)
Volume is the number of Long/Short rows stored, not the number already scored. Scoring lags the horizon.

Open the accuracy desk for the same math broken down by side, source, oscillator, and kind.