Accuracy

Mark-to-market vs Binance USDT-M last price at ingest. This is not a take-profit / stop-loss backtest.

52.6% hit rate
+0.08% mean at horizon
-0.13% mean at 4h
19 scored / 19
Accuracy desk

All scored · Quiet desk · Desk · Scanner only · Back to feed

How we score

  1. Entry is the Binance USDT-M last price when the signal is stored.
  2. Horizon depends on the signal timeframe: M15 → 4h, H1 → 8h, H4 → 24h, D1 → 72h (other TFs have a matching wait; default 12h).
  3. Outcome % is ((mark − entry) / entry) × 100, then flipped for Short so a move in the trade’s favor is positive.
  4. Hit rate is scored rows with outcome % > 0, divided by all scored rows. A flat 0% counts as scored, not a win.
  5. Mean is the average of those signed outcome % values.

The Live column on the feed is the current mark vs entry and is not the official score. Extra snapshots (about 4h and 24h after ingest, plus max adverse / favorable from klines) are diagnostics — they do not change hit rate.

By timeframe

BucketScoredHit rateMean
H11952.6%+0.08%

By side

BucketScoredHit rateMean
Long1060.0%+0.65%
Short944.4%-0.54%

By source

BucketScoredHit rateMean
Scanner1241.7%+0.09%
Desk771.4%+0.07%

By oscillator

BucketScoredHit rateMean
RSI850.0%-0.57%
unspecified771.4%+0.07%

By kind

BucketScoredHit rateMean
regular1650.0%+0.02%