Accuracy
Mark-to-market vs Binance USDT-M last price at ingest. This is not a take-profit / stop-loss backtest.
48.2%
hit rate
-0.11%
mean at horizon
+0.03%
mean at 4h
12,823
scored / 12,967
Accuracy desk
All scored
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Quiet desk
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Desk
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Scanner only
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Back to feed
How we score
- Entry is the Binance USDT-M last price when the signal is stored.
- Horizon depends on the signal timeframe: M15 → 4h, H1 → 8h, H4 → 24h, D1 → 72h (other TFs have a matching wait; default 12h).
- Outcome % is
((mark − entry) / entry) × 100, then flipped for Short so a move in the trade’s favor is positive.
- Hit rate is scored rows with outcome % > 0, divided by all scored rows. A flat 0% counts as scored, not a win.
- Mean is the average of those signed outcome % values.
The Live column on the feed is the current mark vs entry and is not the official score. Extra snapshots (about 4h and 24h after ingest, plus max adverse / favorable from klines) are diagnostics — they do not change hit rate.
By timeframe
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| H1 | 4,665 | 49.1% | +0.15% |
| H4 | 4,191 | 45.5% | -0.47% |
| M15 | 3,967 | 49.9% | -0.04% |
By side
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Short | 6,424 | 51.5% | +0.29% |
| Long | 6,399 | 44.8% | -0.52% |
By source
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Scanner | 12,479 | 47.9% | -0.14% |
| Desk + scanner | 344 | 58.1% | +1.01% |
By oscillator
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| RSI | 10,876 | 47.9% | -0.10% |
| MACD | 1,947 | 49.5% | -0.17% |
By kind
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| regular | 6,842 | 50.7% | +0.07% |
| hidden | 5,981 | 45.2% | -0.32% |