Accuracy
Mark-to-market vs Binance USDT-M last price at ingest. This is not a take-profit / stop-loss backtest.
50.2%
hit rate
-0.01%
mean at horizon
-0.01%
mean at 4h
39,037
scored / 45,381
Accuracy desk
All scored
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Quiet desk
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Desk
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Scanner only
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How we score
- Entry is the Binance USDT-M last price when the signal is stored.
- Horizon depends on the signal timeframe: M15 → 4h, H1 → 8h, H4 → 24h, D1 → 72h (other TFs have a matching wait; default 12h).
- Outcome % is
((mark − entry) / entry) × 100, then flipped for Short so a move in the trade’s favor is positive.
- Hit rate is scored rows with outcome % > 0, divided by all scored rows. A flat 0% counts as scored, not a win.
- Mean is the average of those signed outcome % values.
The Live column on the feed is the current mark vs entry and is not the official score. Extra snapshots (about 4h and 24h after ingest, plus max adverse / favorable from klines) are diagnostics — they do not change hit rate.
By timeframe
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| M15 | 27,542 | 50.3% | -0.04% |
| H1 | 7,563 | 50.9% | +0.04% |
| H4 | 2,169 | 48.3% | +0.02% |
| H12 | 1,532 | 47.6% | +0.28% |
| unspecified | 65 | 36.9% | -0.68% |
| M30 | 55 | 63.6% | +0.28% |
| D1 | 54 | 42.6% | -0.22% |
| M45 | 33 | 60.6% | +0.40% |
| H2 | 16 | 62.5% | +0.30% |
| H6 | 7 | 42.9% | +0.11% |
By side
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Long | 20,573 | 47.9% | +0.09% |
| Short | 18,464 | 52.8% | -0.12% |
By source
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Desk | 38,691 | 50.1% | -0.02% |
| Desk + scanner | 346 | 57.8% | +1.00% |
By oscillator
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| unspecified | 38,691 | 50.1% | -0.02% |
| RSI | 244 | 58.6% | +0.91% |
| MACD | 102 | 55.9% | +1.22% |
By kind
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| regular | 31,872 | 49.8% | -0.05% |
| unspecified | 7,152 | 51.8% | +0.17% |
| hidden | 13 | 46.2% | -0.06% |