Accuracy
Mark-to-market vs Binance USDT-M last price at ingest. This is not a take-profit / stop-loss backtest.
49.1%
hit rate
-0.04%
mean at horizon
-0.07%
mean at 4h
12,050
scored / 16,860
Accuracy desk
All scored
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Quiet desk
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Desk
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Scanner only
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Back to feed
How we score
- Entry is the Binance USDT-M last price when the signal is stored.
- Horizon depends on the signal timeframe: M15 → 4h, H1 → 8h, H4 → 24h, D1 → 72h (other TFs have a matching wait; default 12h).
- Outcome % is
((mark − entry) / entry) × 100, then flipped for Short so a move in the trade’s favor is positive.
- Hit rate is scored rows with outcome % > 0, divided by all scored rows. A flat 0% counts as scored, not a win.
- Mean is the average of those signed outcome % values.
The Live column on the feed is the current mark vs entry and is not the official score. Extra snapshots (about 4h and 24h after ingest, plus max adverse / favorable from klines) are diagnostics — they do not change hit rate.
By timeframe
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| H1 | 6,763 | 50.2% | -0.09% |
| H4 | 3,228 | 46.8% | -0.19% |
| H12 | 1,216 | 49.6% | +0.72% |
| M15 | 730 | 48.2% | -0.15% |
| D1 | 46 | 39.1% | -0.33% |
| M30 | 28 | 67.9% | +0.42% |
| M45 | 18 | 66.7% | +0.19% |
| H2 | 9 | 55.6% | -0.41% |
| unspecified | 7 | 14.3% | -1.03% |
By side
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Long | 6,168 | 50.8% | +0.54% |
| Short | 5,882 | 47.4% | -0.65% |
By source
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Desk | 7,265 | 50.2% | +0.04% |
| Scanner | 4,673 | 47.4% | -0.17% |
| Desk + scanner | 112 | 52.7% | +0.01% |
By oscillator
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| unspecified | 7,265 | 50.2% | +0.04% |
| RSI | 4,029 | 47.3% | -0.10% |
| MACD | 756 | 48.7% | -0.52% |
By kind
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| regular | 7,013 | 50.1% | -0.12% |
| unspecified | 2,808 | 50.1% | +0.29% |
| hidden | 2,229 | 44.6% | -0.21% |