Accuracy
Mark-to-market vs Binance USDT-M last price at ingest. This is not a take-profit / stop-loss backtest.
49.1%
hit rate
-0.02%
mean at horizon
-0.04%
mean at 4h
21,472
scored / 26,319
Accuracy desk
All scored
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Quiet desk
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Desk
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Scanner only
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Back to feed
How we score
- Entry is the Binance USDT-M last price when the signal is stored.
- Horizon depends on the signal timeframe: M15 → 4h, H1 → 8h, H4 → 24h, D1 → 72h (other TFs have a matching wait; default 12h).
- Outcome % is
((mark − entry) / entry) × 100, then flipped for Short so a move in the trade’s favor is positive.
- Hit rate is scored rows with outcome % > 0, divided by all scored rows. A flat 0% counts as scored, not a win.
- Mean is the average of those signed outcome % values.
The Live column on the feed is the current mark vs entry and is not the official score. Extra snapshots (about 4h and 24h after ingest, plus max adverse / favorable from klines) are diagnostics — they do not change hit rate.
By timeframe
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| H1 | 12,076 | 50.5% | +0.10% |
| H4 | 6,346 | 46.5% | -0.31% |
| H12 | 1,518 | 47.8% | +0.29% |
| M15 | 1,360 | 50.4% | -0.06% |
| D1 | 54 | 42.6% | -0.22% |
| M30 | 53 | 66.0% | +0.32% |
| M45 | 32 | 59.4% | +0.37% |
| H2 | 16 | 62.5% | +0.30% |
| unspecified | 9 | 22.2% | -0.97% |
| H6 | 7 | 42.9% | +0.11% |
By side
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Long | 11,317 | 46.5% | -0.11% |
| Short | 10,155 | 52.0% | +0.08% |
By source
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Desk | 11,589 | 50.4% | +0.08% |
| Scanner | 9,680 | 47.4% | -0.15% |
| Desk + scanner | 203 | 58.6% | +0.48% |
By oscillator
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| unspecified | 11,589 | 50.4% | +0.08% |
| RSI | 8,425 | 47.2% | -0.08% |
| MACD | 1,458 | 49.7% | -0.42% |
By kind
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| regular | 14,059 | 50.2% | -0.02% |
| hidden | 4,603 | 45.3% | -0.21% |
| unspecified | 2,810 | 50.1% | +0.29% |