Accuracy

Mark-to-market vs Binance USDT-M last price at ingest. This is not a take-profit / stop-loss backtest.

64.5% hit rate
+2.10% mean at horizon
+0.13% mean at 4h
93 scored / 107
Accuracy desk

All scored · Quiet desk · Desk · Scanner only · Back to feed

How we score

  1. Entry is the Binance USDT-M last price when the signal is stored.
  2. Horizon depends on the signal timeframe: M15 → 4h, H1 → 8h, H4 → 24h, D1 → 72h (other TFs have a matching wait; default 12h).
  3. Outcome % is ((mark − entry) / entry) × 100, then flipped for Short so a move in the trade’s favor is positive.
  4. Hit rate is scored rows with outcome % > 0, divided by all scored rows. A flat 0% counts as scored, not a win.
  5. Mean is the average of those signed outcome % values.

The Live column on the feed is the current mark vs entry and is not the official score. Extra snapshots (about 4h and 24h after ingest, plus max adverse / favorable from klines) are diagnostics — they do not change hit rate.

By timeframe

BucketScoredHit rateMean
M154757.4%+0.31%
H12871.4%+0.82%
H41376.9%+11.98%
H12560.0%+0.48%

By side

BucketScoredHit rateMean
Long4774.5%+3.85%
Short4654.3%+0.32%

By source

BucketScoredHit rateMean
Desk6955.1%+0.23%
Scanner2395.7%+7.84%

By oscillator

BucketScoredHit rateMean
unspecified6955.1%+0.23%
RSI2195.2%+8.44%

By kind

BucketScoredHit rateMean
regular5869.0%+3.14%
unspecified2646.2%+0.07%
hidden988.9%+1.33%