Accuracy

Mark-to-market vs Binance USDT-M last price at ingest. This is not a take-profit / stop-loss backtest.

71.4% hit rate
+0.82% mean at horizon
+0.12% mean at 4h
28 scored / 30
Accuracy desk

All scored · Quiet desk · Desk · Scanner only · Back to feed

How we score

  1. Entry is the Binance USDT-M last price when the signal is stored.
  2. Horizon depends on the signal timeframe: M15 → 4h, H1 → 8h, H4 → 24h, D1 → 72h (other TFs have a matching wait; default 12h).
  3. Outcome % is ((mark − entry) / entry) × 100, then flipped for Short so a move in the trade’s favor is positive.
  4. Hit rate is scored rows with outcome % > 0, divided by all scored rows. A flat 0% counts as scored, not a win.
  5. Mean is the average of those signed outcome % values.

The Live column on the feed is the current mark vs entry and is not the official score. Extra snapshots (about 4h and 24h after ingest, plus max adverse / favorable from klines) are diagnostics — they do not change hit rate.

By timeframe

BucketScoredHit rateMean
H12871.4%+0.82%

By side

BucketScoredHit rateMean
Short1560.0%+0.70%
Long1384.6%+0.97%

By source

BucketScoredHit rateMean
Desk1450.0%+0.20%
Scanner1492.9%+1.45%

By oscillator

BucketScoredHit rateMean
unspecified1450.0%+0.20%
RSI1291.7%+1.42%

By kind

BucketScoredHit rateMean
regular1492.9%+1.15%
hidden887.5%+1.30%
unspecified60.0%-0.57%