Accuracy

Mark-to-market vs Binance USDT-M last price at ingest. This is not a take-profit / stop-loss backtest.

57.4% hit rate
+0.23% mean at horizon
-0.12% mean at 4h
61 scored / 99
Accuracy desk

All scored · Quiet desk · Desk · Scanner only · Back to feed

How we score

  1. Entry is the Binance USDT-M last price when the signal is stored.
  2. Horizon depends on the signal timeframe: M15 → 4h, H1 → 8h, H4 → 24h, D1 → 72h (other TFs have a matching wait; default 12h).
  3. Outcome % is ((mark − entry) / entry) × 100, then flipped for Short so a move in the trade’s favor is positive.
  4. Hit rate is scored rows with outcome % > 0, divided by all scored rows. A flat 0% counts as scored, not a win.
  5. Mean is the average of those signed outcome % values.

The Live column on the feed is the current mark vs entry and is not the official score. Extra snapshots (about 4h and 24h after ingest, plus max adverse / favorable from klines) are diagnostics — they do not change hit rate.

By timeframe

BucketScoredHit rateMean
H46157.4%+0.23%

By side

BucketScoredHit rateMean
Long4344.2%-0.31%
Short1888.9%+1.52%

By source

BucketScoredHit rateMean
Scanner5657.1%+0.23%
Desk560.0%+0.24%

By oscillator

BucketScoredHit rateMean
RSI5657.1%+0.23%
unspecified560.0%+0.24%

By kind

BucketScoredHit rateMean
hidden4040.0%-0.50%
regular1894.4%+1.85%