Accuracy

Mark-to-market vs Binance USDT-M last price at ingest. This is not a take-profit / stop-loss backtest.

59.5% hit rate
+6.86% mean at horizon
-0.99% mean at 4h
37 scored / 42
Accuracy desk

All scored · Quiet desk · Desk · Scanner only · Back to feed

How we score

  1. Entry is the Binance USDT-M last price when the signal is stored.
  2. Horizon depends on the signal timeframe: M15 → 4h, H1 → 8h, H4 → 24h, D1 → 72h (other TFs have a matching wait; default 12h).
  3. Outcome % is ((mark − entry) / entry) × 100, then flipped for Short so a move in the trade’s favor is positive.
  4. Hit rate is scored rows with outcome % > 0, divided by all scored rows. A flat 0% counts as scored, not a win.
  5. Mean is the average of those signed outcome % values.

The Live column on the feed is the current mark vs entry and is not the official score. Extra snapshots (about 4h and 24h after ingest, plus max adverse / favorable from klines) are diagnostics — they do not change hit rate.

By timeframe

BucketScoredHit rateMean
H42365.2%+9.17%
H1955.6%+4.84%
M15540.0%-0.09%

By side

BucketScoredHit rateMean
Long2755.6%+7.32%
Short1070.0%+5.64%

By source

BucketScoredHit rateMean
Scanner3759.5%+6.86%

By oscillator

BucketScoredHit rateMean
RSI3759.5%+6.86%

By kind

BucketScoredHit rateMean
hidden2560.0%+8.21%
regular1258.3%+4.06%