Accuracy
Mark-to-market vs Binance USDT-M last price at ingest. This is not a take-profit / stop-loss backtest.
43.5%
hit rate
-0.08%
mean at horizon
-0.14%
mean at 4h
92
scored / 92
Accuracy desk
All scored
·
Quiet desk
·
Desk
·
Scanner only
·
Back to feed
How we score
- Entry is the Binance USDT-M last price when the signal is stored.
- Horizon depends on the signal timeframe: M15 → 4h, H1 → 8h, H4 → 24h, D1 → 72h (other TFs have a matching wait; default 12h).
- Outcome % is
((mark − entry) / entry) × 100, then flipped for Short so a move in the trade’s favor is positive.
- Hit rate is scored rows with outcome % > 0, divided by all scored rows. A flat 0% counts as scored, not a win.
- Mean is the average of those signed outcome % values.
The Live column on the feed is the current mark vs entry and is not the official score. Extra snapshots (about 4h and 24h after ingest, plus max adverse / favorable from klines) are diagnostics — they do not change hit rate.
By timeframe
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| H1 | 47 | 36.2% | -0.29% |
| M15 | 37 | 62.2% | +0.38% |
| H4 | 8 | 0.0% | -0.91% |
By side
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Long | 48 | 54.2% | +0.21% |
| Short | 44 | 31.8% | -0.39% |
By source
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Scanner | 92 | 43.5% | -0.08% |
By oscillator
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| RSI | 81 | 43.2% | -0.08% |
| MACD | 11 | 45.5% | -0.07% |
By kind
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| regular | 50 | 44.0% | -0.20% |
| hidden | 42 | 42.9% | +0.06% |