Accuracy
Mark-to-market vs Binance USDT-M last price at ingest. This is not a take-profit / stop-loss backtest.
49.4%
hit rate
-0.09%
mean at horizon
+0.00%
mean at 4h
354
scored / 672
Accuracy desk
All scored
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Quiet desk
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Desk
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Scanner only
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Back to feed
How we score
- Entry is the Binance USDT-M last price when the signal is stored.
- Horizon depends on the signal timeframe: M15 → 4h, H1 → 8h, H4 → 24h, D1 → 72h (other TFs have a matching wait; default 12h).
- Outcome % is
((mark − entry) / entry) × 100, then flipped for Short so a move in the trade’s favor is positive.
- Hit rate is scored rows with outcome % > 0, divided by all scored rows. A flat 0% counts as scored, not a win.
- Mean is the average of those signed outcome % values.
The Live column on the feed is the current mark vs entry and is not the official score. Extra snapshots (about 4h and 24h after ingest, plus max adverse / favorable from klines) are diagnostics — they do not change hit rate.
By timeframe
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| M15 | 173 | 52.0% | +0.01% |
| H1 | 101 | 49.5% | -0.11% |
| H4 | 73 | 43.8% | -0.09% |
By side
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Long | 188 | 50.5% | +0.15% |
| Short | 166 | 48.2% | -0.36% |
By source
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Scanner | 241 | 49.0% | -0.08% |
| Desk | 89 | 50.6% | -0.22% |
| Desk + scanner | 24 | 50.0% | +0.29% |
By oscillator
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| RSI | 219 | 50.7% | +0.10% |
| unspecified | 89 | 50.6% | -0.22% |
| MACD | 46 | 41.3% | -0.73% |
By kind
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| regular | 211 | 48.3% | -0.42% |
| hidden | 116 | 50.0% | +0.48% |
| unspecified | 27 | 55.6% | +0.09% |