Accuracy
Mark-to-market vs Binance USDT-M last price at ingest. This is not a take-profit / stop-loss backtest.
58.5%
hit rate
+0.70%
mean at horizon
-0.15%
mean at 4h
135
scored / 137
Accuracy desk
All scored
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Quiet desk
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Desk
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Scanner only
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Back to feed
How we score
- Entry is the Binance USDT-M last price when the signal is stored.
- Horizon depends on the signal timeframe: M15 → 4h, H1 → 8h, H4 → 24h, D1 → 72h (other TFs have a matching wait; default 12h).
- Outcome % is
((mark − entry) / entry) × 100, then flipped for Short so a move in the trade’s favor is positive.
- Hit rate is scored rows with outcome % > 0, divided by all scored rows. A flat 0% counts as scored, not a win.
- Mean is the average of those signed outcome % values.
The Live column on the feed is the current mark vs entry and is not the official score. Extra snapshots (about 4h and 24h after ingest, plus max adverse / favorable from klines) are diagnostics — they do not change hit rate.
By timeframe
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| M15 | 93 | 58.1% | -0.28% |
| H1 | 27 | 63.0% | +5.13% |
| H4 | 10 | 50.0% | -1.87% |
| H12 | 5 | 60.0% | +0.31% |
By side
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Short | 69 | 53.6% | +2.32% |
| Long | 66 | 63.6% | -0.98% |
By source
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Desk | 121 | 57.9% | +0.36% |
| Scanner | 14 | 64.3% | +3.66% |
By oscillator
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| unspecified | 121 | 57.9% | +0.36% |
| RSI | 9 | 44.4% | -8.32% |
| MACD | 5 | 100.0% | +25.23% |
By kind
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| regular | 101 | 60.4% | +1.68% |
| unspecified | 30 | 56.7% | +0.11% |