Accuracy
Mark-to-market vs Binance USDT-M last price at ingest. This is not a take-profit / stop-loss backtest.
51.6%
hit rate
-0.35%
mean at horizon
-0.39%
mean at 4h
128
scored / 151
Accuracy desk
All scored
·
Quiet desk
·
Desk
·
Scanner only
·
Back to feed
How we score
- Entry is the Binance USDT-M last price when the signal is stored.
- Horizon depends on the signal timeframe: M15 → 4h, H1 → 8h, H4 → 24h, D1 → 72h (other TFs have a matching wait; default 12h).
- Outcome % is
((mark − entry) / entry) × 100, then flipped for Short so a move in the trade’s favor is positive.
- Hit rate is scored rows with outcome % > 0, divided by all scored rows. A flat 0% counts as scored, not a win.
- Mean is the average of those signed outcome % values.
The Live column on the feed is the current mark vs entry and is not the official score. Extra snapshots (about 4h and 24h after ingest, plus max adverse / favorable from klines) are diagnostics — they do not change hit rate.
By timeframe
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| M15 | 87 | 55.2% | -0.29% |
| H1 | 27 | 37.0% | -0.41% |
| H4 | 9 | 55.6% | -0.25% |
| H12 | 5 | 60.0% | -1.21% |
By side
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Short | 67 | 55.2% | -0.33% |
| Long | 61 | 47.5% | -0.37% |
By source
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Desk | 119 | 49.6% | -0.63% |
| Scanner | 9 | 77.8% | +3.34% |
By oscillator
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| unspecified | 119 | 49.6% | -0.63% |
| RSI | 6 | 83.3% | +3.80% |
By kind
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| regular | 102 | 50.0% | -0.55% |
| unspecified | 24 | 58.3% | +0.43% |