Accuracy
Mark-to-market vs Binance USDT-M last price at ingest. This is not a take-profit / stop-loss backtest.
50.0%
hit rate
-8.24%
mean at horizon
-0.11%
mean at 4h
98
scored / 99
Accuracy desk
All scored
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Quiet desk
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Desk
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Scanner only
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Back to feed
How we score
- Entry is the Binance USDT-M last price when the signal is stored.
- Horizon depends on the signal timeframe: M15 → 4h, H1 → 8h, H4 → 24h, D1 → 72h (other TFs have a matching wait; default 12h).
- Outcome % is
((mark − entry) / entry) × 100, then flipped for Short so a move in the trade’s favor is positive.
- Hit rate is scored rows with outcome % > 0, divided by all scored rows. A flat 0% counts as scored, not a win.
- Mean is the average of those signed outcome % values.
The Live column on the feed is the current mark vs entry and is not the official score. Extra snapshots (about 4h and 24h after ingest, plus max adverse / favorable from klines) are diagnostics — they do not change hit rate.
By timeframe
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| M15 | 98 | 50.0% | -8.24% |
By side
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Long | 55 | 41.8% | +0.88% |
| Short | 43 | 60.5% | -19.89% |
By source
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Desk | 83 | 48.2% | -3.26% |
| Scanner | 15 | 60.0% | -35.78% |
By oscillator
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| unspecified | 83 | 48.2% | -3.26% |
| RSI | 12 | 58.3% | -52.32% |
By kind
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| regular | 77 | 46.8% | -10.86% |
| unspecified | 13 | 53.8% | +1.20% |
| hidden | 8 | 75.0% | +1.67% |