Accuracy
Mark-to-market vs Binance USDT-M last price at ingest. This is not a take-profit / stop-loss backtest.
51.1%
hit rate
-0.16%
mean at horizon
+0.04%
mean at 4h
354
scored / 377
Accuracy desk
All scored
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Quiet desk
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Desk
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Scanner only
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Back to feed
How we score
- Entry is the Binance USDT-M last price when the signal is stored.
- Horizon depends on the signal timeframe: M15 → 4h, H1 → 8h, H4 → 24h, D1 → 72h (other TFs have a matching wait; default 12h).
- Outcome % is
((mark − entry) / entry) × 100, then flipped for Short so a move in the trade’s favor is positive.
- Hit rate is scored rows with outcome % > 0, divided by all scored rows. A flat 0% counts as scored, not a win.
- Mean is the average of those signed outcome % values.
The Live column on the feed is the current mark vs entry and is not the official score. Extra snapshots (about 4h and 24h after ingest, plus max adverse / favorable from klines) are diagnostics — they do not change hit rate.
By timeframe
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| M15 | 172 | 55.8% | +0.48% |
| H1 | 90 | 60.0% | +1.23% |
| H4 | 86 | 33.7% | -2.82% |
| H12 | 5 | 40.0% | -1.45% |
By side
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Short | 227 | 46.3% | -1.45% |
| Long | 127 | 59.8% | +2.14% |
By source
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Scanner | 242 | 47.9% | -0.41% |
| Desk | 92 | 60.9% | +0.39% |
| Desk + scanner | 20 | 45.0% | +0.26% |
By oscillator
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| RSI | 243 | 47.7% | -0.43% |
| unspecified | 92 | 60.9% | +0.39% |
| MACD | 19 | 47.4% | +0.56% |
By kind
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| regular | 234 | 51.7% | -0.35% |
| hidden | 95 | 50.5% | +0.28% |
| unspecified | 25 | 48.0% | -0.12% |