Accuracy

Mark-to-market vs Binance USDT-M last price at ingest. This is not a take-profit / stop-loss backtest.

53.3% hit rate
-0.57% mean at horizon
+0.33% mean at 4h
92 scored / 105
Accuracy desk

All scored · Quiet desk · Desk · Scanner only · Back to feed

How we score

  1. Entry is the Binance USDT-M last price when the signal is stored.
  2. Horizon depends on the signal timeframe: M15 → 4h, H1 → 8h, H4 → 24h, D1 → 72h (other TFs have a matching wait; default 12h).
  3. Outcome % is ((mark − entry) / entry) × 100, then flipped for Short so a move in the trade’s favor is positive.
  4. Hit rate is scored rows with outcome % > 0, divided by all scored rows. A flat 0% counts as scored, not a win.
  5. Mean is the average of those signed outcome % values.

The Live column on the feed is the current mark vs entry and is not the official score. Extra snapshots (about 4h and 24h after ingest, plus max adverse / favorable from klines) are diagnostics — they do not change hit rate.

By timeframe

BucketScoredHit rateMean
M154060.0%+1.29%
H12951.7%+0.50%
H42138.1%-5.72%

By side

BucketScoredHit rateMean
Long7054.3%-1.74%
Short2250.0%+3.14%

By source

BucketScoredHit rateMean
Desk7458.1%+0.41%
Scanner1833.3%-4.59%

By oscillator

BucketScoredHit rateMean
unspecified7458.1%+0.41%
RSI1435.7%-5.23%

By kind

BucketScoredHit rateMean
regular6460.9%+1.53%
unspecified1553.3%-0.43%
hidden1315.4%-11.08%