Accuracy
Mark-to-market vs Binance USDT-M last price at ingest. This is not a take-profit / stop-loss backtest.
53.1%
hit rate
+0.35%
mean at horizon
-0.27%
mean at 4h
64
scored / 82
Accuracy desk
All scored
·
Quiet desk
·
Desk
·
Scanner only
·
Back to feed
How we score
- Entry is the Binance USDT-M last price when the signal is stored.
- Horizon depends on the signal timeframe: M15 → 4h, H1 → 8h, H4 → 24h, D1 → 72h (other TFs have a matching wait; default 12h).
- Outcome % is
((mark − entry) / entry) × 100, then flipped for Short so a move in the trade’s favor is positive.
- Hit rate is scored rows with outcome % > 0, divided by all scored rows. A flat 0% counts as scored, not a win.
- Mean is the average of those signed outcome % values.
The Live column on the feed is the current mark vs entry and is not the official score. Extra snapshots (about 4h and 24h after ingest, plus max adverse / favorable from klines) are diagnostics — they do not change hit rate.
By timeframe
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| M15 | 41 | 58.5% | -0.36% |
| H1 | 13 | 53.8% | +3.08% |
| H4 | 8 | 37.5% | -0.40% |
By side
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Short | 33 | 60.6% | +0.37% |
| Long | 31 | 45.2% | +0.33% |
By source
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Desk | 62 | 51.6% | -0.02% |
By oscillator
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| unspecified | 62 | 51.6% | -0.02% |
By kind
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| regular | 38 | 52.6% | +0.03% |
| unspecified | 26 | 53.8% | +0.81% |