Accuracy
Mark-to-market vs Binance USDT-M last price at ingest. This is not a take-profit / stop-loss backtest.
67.9%
hit rate
+1.96%
mean at horizon
+0.39%
mean at 4h
78
scored / 78
Accuracy desk
All scored
·
Quiet desk
·
Desk
·
Scanner only
·
Back to feed
How we score
- Entry is the Binance USDT-M last price when the signal is stored.
- Horizon depends on the signal timeframe: M15 → 4h, H1 → 8h, H4 → 24h, D1 → 72h (other TFs have a matching wait; default 12h).
- Outcome % is
((mark − entry) / entry) × 100, then flipped for Short so a move in the trade’s favor is positive.
- Hit rate is scored rows with outcome % > 0, divided by all scored rows. A flat 0% counts as scored, not a win.
- Mean is the average of those signed outcome % values.
The Live column on the feed is the current mark vs entry and is not the official score. Extra snapshots (about 4h and 24h after ingest, plus max adverse / favorable from klines) are diagnostics — they do not change hit rate.
By timeframe
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| H4 | 78 | 67.9% | +1.96% |
By side
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Short | 46 | 65.2% | +1.32% |
| Long | 32 | 71.9% | +2.88% |
By source
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Scanner | 78 | 67.9% | +1.96% |
By oscillator
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| RSI | 64 | 70.3% | +2.36% |
| MACD | 14 | 57.1% | +0.14% |
By kind
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| regular | 62 | 61.3% | +1.20% |
| hidden | 16 | 93.8% | +4.91% |