Accuracy
Mark-to-market vs Binance USDT-M last price at ingest. This is not a take-profit / stop-loss backtest.
44.1%
hit rate
-1.60%
mean at horizon
-0.30%
mean at 4h
93
scored / 107
Accuracy desk
All scored
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Quiet desk
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Desk
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Scanner only
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Back to feed
How we score
- Entry is the Binance USDT-M last price when the signal is stored.
- Horizon depends on the signal timeframe: M15 → 4h, H1 → 8h, H4 → 24h, D1 → 72h (other TFs have a matching wait; default 12h).
- Outcome % is
((mark − entry) / entry) × 100, then flipped for Short so a move in the trade’s favor is positive.
- Hit rate is scored rows with outcome % > 0, divided by all scored rows. A flat 0% counts as scored, not a win.
- Mean is the average of those signed outcome % values.
The Live column on the feed is the current mark vs entry and is not the official score. Extra snapshots (about 4h and 24h after ingest, plus max adverse / favorable from klines) are diagnostics — they do not change hit rate.
By timeframe
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| H4 | 93 | 44.1% | -1.60% |
By side
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Long | 53 | 34.0% | -1.79% |
| Short | 40 | 57.5% | -1.36% |
By source
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Scanner | 86 | 44.2% | -1.85% |
| Desk | 7 | 42.9% | +1.41% |
By oscillator
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| RSI | 74 | 39.2% | -2.63% |
| MACD | 12 | 75.0% | +2.97% |
| unspecified | 7 | 42.9% | +1.41% |
By kind
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| hidden | 56 | 62.5% | +0.47% |
| regular | 34 | 14.7% | -5.01% |