Accuracy
Mark-to-market vs Binance USDT-M last price at ingest. This is not a take-profit / stop-loss backtest.
56.2%
hit rate
+0.30%
mean at horizon
+0.18%
mean at 4h
146
scored / 165
Accuracy desk
All scored
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Quiet desk
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Desk
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Scanner only
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Back to feed
How we score
- Entry is the Binance USDT-M last price when the signal is stored.
- Horizon depends on the signal timeframe: M15 → 4h, H1 → 8h, H4 → 24h, D1 → 72h (other TFs have a matching wait; default 12h).
- Outcome % is
((mark − entry) / entry) × 100, then flipped for Short so a move in the trade’s favor is positive.
- Hit rate is scored rows with outcome % > 0, divided by all scored rows. A flat 0% counts as scored, not a win.
- Mean is the average of those signed outcome % values.
The Live column on the feed is the current mark vs entry and is not the official score. Extra snapshots (about 4h and 24h after ingest, plus max adverse / favorable from klines) are diagnostics — they do not change hit rate.
By timeframe
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| M15 | 85 | 54.1% | -0.15% |
| H1 | 34 | 55.9% | +1.20% |
| H4 | 21 | 57.1% | +0.18% |
| H12 | 6 | 83.3% | +1.91% |
By side
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Long | 86 | 55.8% | +0.78% |
| Short | 60 | 56.7% | -0.40% |
By source
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Desk | 121 | 53.7% | +0.13% |
| Scanner | 25 | 68.0% | +1.09% |
By oscillator
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| unspecified | 121 | 53.7% | +0.13% |
| RSI | 13 | 76.9% | +1.70% |
| MACD | 12 | 58.3% | +0.43% |
By kind
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| regular | 109 | 55.0% | +0.22% |
| unspecified | 23 | 65.2% | +0.20% |
| hidden | 14 | 50.0% | +1.02% |