Accuracy
Mark-to-market vs Binance USDT-M last price at ingest. This is not a take-profit / stop-loss backtest.
50.3%
hit rate
-0.04%
mean at horizon
+0.13%
mean at 4h
366
scored / 395
Accuracy desk
All scored
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Quiet desk
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Desk
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Scanner only
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Back to feed
How we score
- Entry is the Binance USDT-M last price when the signal is stored.
- Horizon depends on the signal timeframe: M15 → 4h, H1 → 8h, H4 → 24h, D1 → 72h (other TFs have a matching wait; default 12h).
- Outcome % is
((mark − entry) / entry) × 100, then flipped for Short so a move in the trade’s favor is positive.
- Hit rate is scored rows with outcome % > 0, divided by all scored rows. A flat 0% counts as scored, not a win.
- Mean is the average of those signed outcome % values.
The Live column on the feed is the current mark vs entry and is not the official score. Extra snapshots (about 4h and 24h after ingest, plus max adverse / favorable from klines) are diagnostics — they do not change hit rate.
By timeframe
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| M15 | 220 | 52.7% | +0.07% |
| H1 | 83 | 48.2% | -0.67% |
| H4 | 60 | 45.0% | +0.48% |
By side
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Short | 195 | 43.1% | -1.37% |
| Long | 171 | 58.5% | +1.47% |
By source
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Scanner | 271 | 47.2% | -0.23% |
| Desk | 59 | 50.8% | -0.34% |
| Desk + scanner | 36 | 72.2% | +1.83% |
By oscillator
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| RSI | 268 | 51.1% | +0.08% |
| unspecified | 59 | 50.8% | -0.34% |
| MACD | 39 | 43.6% | -0.47% |
By kind
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| regular | 207 | 62.3% | +0.62% |
| hidden | 145 | 35.2% | -0.94% |
| unspecified | 14 | 28.6% | -0.65% |