Accuracy
Mark-to-market vs Binance USDT-M last price at ingest. This is not a take-profit / stop-loss backtest.
54.4%
hit rate
+0.47%
mean at horizon
+0.16%
mean at 4h
90
scored / 92
Accuracy desk
All scored
·
Quiet desk
·
Desk
·
Scanner only
·
Back to feed
How we score
- Entry is the Binance USDT-M last price when the signal is stored.
- Horizon depends on the signal timeframe: M15 → 4h, H1 → 8h, H4 → 24h, D1 → 72h (other TFs have a matching wait; default 12h).
- Outcome % is
((mark − entry) / entry) × 100, then flipped for Short so a move in the trade’s favor is positive.
- Hit rate is scored rows with outcome % > 0, divided by all scored rows. A flat 0% counts as scored, not a win.
- Mean is the average of those signed outcome % values.
The Live column on the feed is the current mark vs entry and is not the official score. Extra snapshots (about 4h and 24h after ingest, plus max adverse / favorable from klines) are diagnostics — they do not change hit rate.
By timeframe
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| M15 | 90 | 54.4% | +0.47% |
By side
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Long | 49 | 59.2% | +2.77% |
| Short | 41 | 48.8% | -2.29% |
By source
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Scanner | 57 | 56.1% | +0.85% |
| Desk | 21 | 47.6% | -0.77% |
| Desk + scanner | 12 | 58.3% | +0.79% |
By oscillator
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| RSI | 63 | 54.0% | +0.69% |
| unspecified | 21 | 47.6% | -0.77% |
| MACD | 6 | 83.3% | +2.43% |
By kind
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| regular | 52 | 63.5% | -0.44% |
| hidden | 28 | 50.0% | +2.53% |
| unspecified | 10 | 20.0% | -0.61% |