Accuracy
Mark-to-market vs Binance USDT-M last price at ingest. This is not a take-profit / stop-loss backtest.
47.8%
hit rate
-0.09%
mean at horizon
+0.05%
mean at 4h
6,885
scored / 7,063
Accuracy desk
All scored
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Quiet desk
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Desk
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Scanner only
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Back to feed
How we score
- Entry is the Binance USDT-M last price when the signal is stored.
- Horizon depends on the signal timeframe: M15 → 4h, H1 → 8h, H4 → 24h, D1 → 72h (other TFs have a matching wait; default 12h).
- Outcome % is
((mark − entry) / entry) × 100, then flipped for Short so a move in the trade’s favor is positive.
- Hit rate is scored rows with outcome % > 0, divided by all scored rows. A flat 0% counts as scored, not a win.
- Mean is the average of those signed outcome % values.
The Live column on the feed is the current mark vs entry and is not the official score. Extra snapshots (about 4h and 24h after ingest, plus max adverse / favorable from klines) are diagnostics — they do not change hit rate.
By timeframe
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| H1 | 3,400 | 49.5% | +0.15% |
| H4 | 2,701 | 45.1% | -0.41% |
| M15 | 784 | 49.4% | -0.05% |
By side
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Short | 3,542 | 49.2% | +0.06% |
| Long | 3,343 | 46.3% | -0.25% |
By source
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Scanner | 6,729 | 47.5% | -0.10% |
| Desk + scanner | 156 | 58.3% | +0.43% |
By oscillator
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| RSI | 5,857 | 47.8% | -0.03% |
| MACD | 1,028 | 47.4% | -0.42% |
By kind
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| regular | 3,609 | 50.3% | +0.07% |
| hidden | 3,276 | 44.9% | -0.27% |