Accuracy
Mark-to-market vs Binance USDT-M last price at ingest. This is not a take-profit / stop-loss backtest.
50.8%
hit rate
-0.10%
mean at horizon
-0.01%
mean at 4h
179
scored / 199
Accuracy desk
All scored
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Quiet desk
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Desk
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Scanner only
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Back to feed
How we score
- Entry is the Binance USDT-M last price when the signal is stored.
- Horizon depends on the signal timeframe: M15 → 4h, H1 → 8h, H4 → 24h, D1 → 72h (other TFs have a matching wait; default 12h).
- Outcome % is
((mark − entry) / entry) × 100, then flipped for Short so a move in the trade’s favor is positive.
- Hit rate is scored rows with outcome % > 0, divided by all scored rows. A flat 0% counts as scored, not a win.
- Mean is the average of those signed outcome % values.
The Live column on the feed is the current mark vs entry and is not the official score. Extra snapshots (about 4h and 24h after ingest, plus max adverse / favorable from klines) are diagnostics — they do not change hit rate.
By timeframe
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| M15 | 80 | 52.5% | +0.00% |
| H1 | 67 | 61.2% | +1.28% |
| H4 | 31 | 22.6% | -3.46% |
By side
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Short | 92 | 57.6% | +0.21% |
| Long | 87 | 43.7% | -0.42% |
By source
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Desk | 100 | 58.0% | +0.49% |
| Scanner | 78 | 42.3% | -0.77% |
By oscillator
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| unspecified | 100 | 58.0% | +0.49% |
| RSI | 73 | 43.8% | -0.81% |
| MACD | 6 | 16.7% | -1.12% |
By kind
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| regular | 126 | 56.3% | +0.45% |
| hidden | 33 | 27.3% | -2.28% |
| unspecified | 20 | 55.0% | +0.08% |