Accuracy
Mark-to-market vs Binance USDT-M last price at ingest. This is not a take-profit / stop-loss backtest.
50.9%
hit rate
+0.28%
mean at horizon
-0.13%
mean at 4h
273
scored / 593
Accuracy desk
All scored
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Quiet desk
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Desk
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Scanner only
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Back to feed
How we score
- Entry is the Binance USDT-M last price when the signal is stored.
- Horizon depends on the signal timeframe: M15 → 4h, H1 → 8h, H4 → 24h, D1 → 72h (other TFs have a matching wait; default 12h).
- Outcome % is
((mark − entry) / entry) × 100, then flipped for Short so a move in the trade’s favor is positive.
- Hit rate is scored rows with outcome % > 0, divided by all scored rows. A flat 0% counts as scored, not a win.
- Mean is the average of those signed outcome % values.
The Live column on the feed is the current mark vs entry and is not the official score. Extra snapshots (about 4h and 24h after ingest, plus max adverse / favorable from klines) are diagnostics — they do not change hit rate.
By timeframe
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| H1 | 112 | 38.4% | -0.62% |
| M15 | 77 | 45.5% | -0.64% |
| H4 | 75 | 70.7% | +1.80% |
| H12 | 5 | 100.0% | +8.66% |
By side
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Long | 137 | 51.8% | +0.99% |
| Short | 136 | 50.0% | -0.43% |
By source
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Scanner | 164 | 51.2% | +0.30% |
| Desk | 108 | 50.0% | +0.26% |
By oscillator
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| RSI | 117 | 49.6% | +0.07% |
| unspecified | 108 | 50.0% | +0.26% |
| MACD | 48 | 56.3% | +0.84% |
By kind
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| regular | 184 | 55.4% | +0.51% |
| hidden | 65 | 38.5% | -0.79% |
| unspecified | 24 | 50.0% | +1.43% |