Accuracy
Mark-to-market vs Binance USDT-M last price at ingest. This is not a take-profit / stop-loss backtest.
42.0%
hit rate
-1.42%
mean at horizon
+1.31%
mean at 4h
81
scored / 81
Accuracy desk
All scored
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Quiet desk
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Desk
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Scanner only
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Back to feed
How we score
- Entry is the Binance USDT-M last price when the signal is stored.
- Horizon depends on the signal timeframe: M15 → 4h, H1 → 8h, H4 → 24h, D1 → 72h (other TFs have a matching wait; default 12h).
- Outcome % is
((mark − entry) / entry) × 100, then flipped for Short so a move in the trade’s favor is positive.
- Hit rate is scored rows with outcome % > 0, divided by all scored rows. A flat 0% counts as scored, not a win.
- Mean is the average of those signed outcome % values.
The Live column on the feed is the current mark vs entry and is not the official score. Extra snapshots (about 4h and 24h after ingest, plus max adverse / favorable from klines) are diagnostics — they do not change hit rate.
By timeframe
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| H4 | 34 | 17.6% | -8.89% |
| H1 | 26 | 69.2% | +7.56% |
| M15 | 21 | 47.6% | -0.42% |
By side
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Short | 41 | 58.5% | -2.98% |
| Long | 40 | 25.0% | +0.19% |
By source
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Scanner | 81 | 42.0% | -1.42% |
By oscillator
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| RSI | 76 | 42.1% | -1.67% |
| MACD | 5 | 40.0% | +2.52% |
By kind
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| hidden | 47 | 34.0% | -5.29% |
| regular | 34 | 52.9% | +3.93% |