Accuracy
Mark-to-market vs Binance USDT-M last price at ingest. This is not a take-profit / stop-loss backtest.
46.7%
hit rate
-0.63%
mean at horizon
-0.26%
mean at 4h
195
scored / 198
Accuracy desk
All scored
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Quiet desk
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Desk
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Scanner only
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Back to feed
How we score
- Entry is the Binance USDT-M last price when the signal is stored.
- Horizon depends on the signal timeframe: M15 → 4h, H1 → 8h, H4 → 24h, D1 → 72h (other TFs have a matching wait; default 12h).
- Outcome % is
((mark − entry) / entry) × 100, then flipped for Short so a move in the trade’s favor is positive.
- Hit rate is scored rows with outcome % > 0, divided by all scored rows. A flat 0% counts as scored, not a win.
- Mean is the average of those signed outcome % values.
The Live column on the feed is the current mark vs entry and is not the official score. Extra snapshots (about 4h and 24h after ingest, plus max adverse / favorable from klines) are diagnostics — they do not change hit rate.
By timeframe
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| M15 | 86 | 45.3% | -0.99% |
| H1 | 56 | 58.9% | +0.31% |
| H4 | 51 | 35.3% | -1.09% |
By side
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Short | 101 | 49.5% | -0.96% |
| Long | 94 | 43.6% | -0.28% |
By source
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Scanner | 95 | 50.5% | +0.08% |
| Desk | 94 | 40.4% | -1.46% |
| Desk + scanner | 6 | 83.3% | +1.02% |
By oscillator
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| unspecified | 94 | 40.4% | -1.46% |
| RSI | 83 | 54.2% | +0.20% |
| MACD | 18 | 44.4% | -0.18% |
By kind
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| regular | 131 | 49.6% | -0.56% |
| hidden | 46 | 45.7% | -0.69% |
| unspecified | 18 | 27.8% | -1.01% |