Accuracy
Mark-to-market vs Binance USDT-M last price at ingest. This is not a take-profit / stop-loss backtest.
52.9%
hit rate
+0.22%
mean at horizon
+0.26%
mean at 4h
157
scored / 477
Accuracy desk
All scored
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Quiet desk
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Desk
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Scanner only
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Back to feed
How we score
- Entry is the Binance USDT-M last price when the signal is stored.
- Horizon depends on the signal timeframe: M15 → 4h, H1 → 8h, H4 → 24h, D1 → 72h (other TFs have a matching wait; default 12h).
- Outcome % is
((mark − entry) / entry) × 100, then flipped for Short so a move in the trade’s favor is positive.
- Hit rate is scored rows with outcome % > 0, divided by all scored rows. A flat 0% counts as scored, not a win.
- Mean is the average of those signed outcome % values.
The Live column on the feed is the current mark vs entry and is not the official score. Extra snapshots (about 4h and 24h after ingest, plus max adverse / favorable from klines) are diagnostics — they do not change hit rate.
By timeframe
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| M15 | 75 | 52.0% | +0.36% |
| H1 | 45 | 62.2% | +0.40% |
| H4 | 30 | 43.3% | +0.17% |
By side
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Long | 90 | 55.6% | +0.96% |
| Short | 67 | 49.3% | -0.76% |
By source
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Scanner | 94 | 55.3% | +0.56% |
| Desk | 53 | 52.8% | -0.21% |
| Desk + scanner | 10 | 30.0% | -0.68% |
By oscillator
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| RSI | 84 | 60.7% | +1.01% |
| unspecified | 53 | 52.8% | -0.21% |
| MACD | 20 | 20.0% | -1.94% |
By kind
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| regular | 87 | 49.4% | -0.45% |
| hidden | 43 | 58.1% | +1.67% |
| unspecified | 27 | 55.6% | +0.09% |