Accuracy
Mark-to-market vs Binance USDT-M last price at ingest. This is not a take-profit / stop-loss backtest.
50.6%
hit rate
+0.06%
mean at horizon
+0.04%
mean at 4h
261
scored / 266
Accuracy desk
All scored
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Quiet desk
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Desk
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Scanner only
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Back to feed
How we score
- Entry is the Binance USDT-M last price when the signal is stored.
- Horizon depends on the signal timeframe: M15 → 4h, H1 → 8h, H4 → 24h, D1 → 72h (other TFs have a matching wait; default 12h).
- Outcome % is
((mark − entry) / entry) × 100, then flipped for Short so a move in the trade’s favor is positive.
- Hit rate is scored rows with outcome % > 0, divided by all scored rows. A flat 0% counts as scored, not a win.
- Mean is the average of those signed outcome % values.
The Live column on the feed is the current mark vs entry and is not the official score. Extra snapshots (about 4h and 24h after ingest, plus max adverse / favorable from klines) are diagnostics — they do not change hit rate.
By timeframe
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| M15 | 116 | 41.4% | -0.49% |
| H1 | 108 | 47.2% | -0.45% |
| H4 | 34 | 88.2% | +2.64% |
By side
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Short | 132 | 53.0% | -0.64% |
| Long | 129 | 48.1% | +0.77% |
By source
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Scanner | 150 | 52.7% | +0.12% |
| Desk | 100 | 48.0% | -0.02% |
| Desk + scanner | 11 | 45.5% | -0.20% |
By oscillator
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| RSI | 132 | 52.3% | -0.19% |
| unspecified | 100 | 48.0% | -0.02% |
| MACD | 29 | 51.7% | +1.42% |
By kind
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| regular | 167 | 48.5% | -0.27% |
| hidden | 65 | 52.3% | +0.29% |
| unspecified | 29 | 58.6% | +1.41% |