Accuracy
Mark-to-market vs Binance USDT-M last price at ingest. This is not a take-profit / stop-loss backtest.
49.2%
hit rate
-0.22%
mean at horizon
+0.05%
mean at 4h
195
scored / 223
Accuracy desk
All scored
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Quiet desk
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Desk
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Scanner only
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Back to feed
How we score
- Entry is the Binance USDT-M last price when the signal is stored.
- Horizon depends on the signal timeframe: M15 → 4h, H1 → 8h, H4 → 24h, D1 → 72h (other TFs have a matching wait; default 12h).
- Outcome % is
((mark − entry) / entry) × 100, then flipped for Short so a move in the trade’s favor is positive.
- Hit rate is scored rows with outcome % > 0, divided by all scored rows. A flat 0% counts as scored, not a win.
- Mean is the average of those signed outcome % values.
The Live column on the feed is the current mark vs entry and is not the official score. Extra snapshots (about 4h and 24h after ingest, plus max adverse / favorable from klines) are diagnostics — they do not change hit rate.
By timeframe
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| M15 | 81 | 55.6% | +0.95% |
| H1 | 65 | 67.7% | +0.58% |
| H4 | 45 | 13.3% | -3.59% |
By side
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Short | 110 | 51.8% | +0.22% |
| Long | 85 | 45.9% | -0.79% |
By source
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Desk | 108 | 59.3% | +0.44% |
| Scanner | 86 | 37.2% | -1.02% |
By oscillator
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| unspecified | 108 | 59.3% | +0.44% |
| RSI | 70 | 37.1% | -1.23% |
| MACD | 17 | 35.3% | -0.20% |
By kind
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| regular | 137 | 53.3% | +0.52% |
| hidden | 36 | 27.8% | -3.15% |
| unspecified | 22 | 59.1% | +0.01% |