Accuracy
Mark-to-market vs Binance USDT-M last price at ingest. This is not a take-profit / stop-loss backtest.
43.2%
hit rate
-1.37%
mean at horizon
-0.30%
mean at 4h
118
scored / 119
Accuracy desk
All scored
·
Quiet desk
·
Desk
·
Scanner only
·
Back to feed
How we score
- Entry is the Binance USDT-M last price when the signal is stored.
- Horizon depends on the signal timeframe: M15 → 4h, H1 → 8h, H4 → 24h, D1 → 72h (other TFs have a matching wait; default 12h).
- Outcome % is
((mark − entry) / entry) × 100, then flipped for Short so a move in the trade’s favor is positive.
- Hit rate is scored rows with outcome % > 0, divided by all scored rows. A flat 0% counts as scored, not a win.
- Mean is the average of those signed outcome % values.
The Live column on the feed is the current mark vs entry and is not the official score. Extra snapshots (about 4h and 24h after ingest, plus max adverse / favorable from klines) are diagnostics — they do not change hit rate.
By timeframe
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| M15 | 87 | 42.5% | -1.27% |
| H1 | 20 | 65.0% | +3.28% |
| H4 | 8 | 0.0% | -17.60% |
By side
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Long | 72 | 31.9% | -2.32% |
| Short | 46 | 60.9% | +0.12% |
By source
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Desk | 92 | 41.3% | -0.82% |
| Scanner | 24 | 50.0% | -3.48% |
By oscillator
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| unspecified | 92 | 41.3% | -0.82% |
| RSI | 23 | 43.5% | -6.12% |
By kind
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| regular | 93 | 40.9% | -2.17% |
| unspecified | 18 | 44.4% | -0.21% |
| hidden | 7 | 71.4% | +6.27% |