Accuracy

Mark-to-market vs Binance USDT-M last price at ingest. This is not a take-profit / stop-loss backtest.

73.3% hit rate
+1.43% mean at horizon
+0.92% mean at 4h
15 scored / 15
Accuracy desk

All scored · Quiet desk · Desk · Scanner only · Back to feed

How we score

  1. Entry is the Binance USDT-M last price when the signal is stored.
  2. Horizon depends on the signal timeframe: M15 → 4h, H1 → 8h, H4 → 24h, D1 → 72h (other TFs have a matching wait; default 12h).
  3. Outcome % is ((mark − entry) / entry) × 100, then flipped for Short so a move in the trade’s favor is positive.
  4. Hit rate is scored rows with outcome % > 0, divided by all scored rows. A flat 0% counts as scored, not a win.
  5. Mean is the average of those signed outcome % values.

The Live column on the feed is the current mark vs entry and is not the official score. Extra snapshots (about 4h and 24h after ingest, plus max adverse / favorable from klines) are diagnostics — they do not change hit rate.

By timeframe

BucketScoredHit rateMean
H11275.0%+1.77%

By side

BucketScoredHit rateMean
Long966.7%+0.60%
Short683.3%+2.68%

By source

BucketScoredHit rateMean
Scanner1573.3%+1.43%

By oscillator

BucketScoredHit rateMean
RSI1471.4%+1.52%

By kind

BucketScoredHit rateMean
regular875.0%+2.48%
hidden771.4%+0.23%