Accuracy
Mark-to-market vs Binance USDT-M last price at ingest. This is not a take-profit / stop-loss backtest.
51.8%
hit rate
+0.33%
mean at horizon
-0.03%
mean at 4h
191
scored / 505
Accuracy desk
All scored
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Quiet desk
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Desk
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Scanner only
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Back to feed
How we score
- Entry is the Binance USDT-M last price when the signal is stored.
- Horizon depends on the signal timeframe: M15 → 4h, H1 → 8h, H4 → 24h, D1 → 72h (other TFs have a matching wait; default 12h).
- Outcome % is
((mark − entry) / entry) × 100, then flipped for Short so a move in the trade’s favor is positive.
- Hit rate is scored rows with outcome % > 0, divided by all scored rows. A flat 0% counts as scored, not a win.
- Mean is the average of those signed outcome % values.
The Live column on the feed is the current mark vs entry and is not the official score. Extra snapshots (about 4h and 24h after ingest, plus max adverse / favorable from klines) are diagnostics — they do not change hit rate.
By timeframe
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| M15 | 83 | 54.2% | +0.40% |
| H1 | 65 | 49.2% | +0.06% |
| H4 | 37 | 54.1% | +0.96% |
By side
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Short | 100 | 62.0% | +0.80% |
| Long | 91 | 40.7% | -0.18% |
By source
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Desk | 117 | 53.8% | +0.47% |
| Scanner | 74 | 48.6% | +0.11% |
By oscillator
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| unspecified | 117 | 53.8% | +0.47% |
| RSI | 61 | 52.5% | +0.58% |
| MACD | 13 | 30.8% | -2.08% |
By kind
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| regular | 119 | 55.5% | +0.77% |
| hidden | 44 | 45.5% | -0.22% |
| unspecified | 28 | 46.4% | -0.65% |