Accuracy
Mark-to-market vs Binance USDT-M last price at ingest. This is not a take-profit / stop-loss backtest.
40.4%
hit rate
-0.80%
mean at horizon
-0.26%
mean at 4h
94
scored / 94
Accuracy desk
All scored
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Quiet desk
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Desk
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Scanner only
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Back to feed
How we score
- Entry is the Binance USDT-M last price when the signal is stored.
- Horizon depends on the signal timeframe: M15 → 4h, H1 → 8h, H4 → 24h, D1 → 72h (other TFs have a matching wait; default 12h).
- Outcome % is
((mark − entry) / entry) × 100, then flipped for Short so a move in the trade’s favor is positive.
- Hit rate is scored rows with outcome % > 0, divided by all scored rows. A flat 0% counts as scored, not a win.
- Mean is the average of those signed outcome % values.
The Live column on the feed is the current mark vs entry and is not the official score. Extra snapshots (about 4h and 24h after ingest, plus max adverse / favorable from klines) are diagnostics — they do not change hit rate.
By timeframe
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| H1 | 57 | 40.4% | -0.17% |
| H4 | 36 | 38.9% | -1.84% |
By side
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Long | 56 | 35.7% | -1.21% |
| Short | 38 | 47.4% | -0.19% |
By source
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Scanner | 94 | 40.4% | -0.80% |
By oscillator
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| RSI | 78 | 37.2% | -1.16% |
| MACD | 16 | 56.3% | +0.98% |
By kind
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| hidden | 48 | 39.6% | -0.73% |
| regular | 46 | 41.3% | -0.87% |