Accuracy
Mark-to-market vs Binance USDT-M last price at ingest. This is not a take-profit / stop-loss backtest.
47.9%
hit rate
+0.17%
mean at horizon
-0.48%
mean at 4h
169
scored / 169
Accuracy desk
All scored
·
Quiet desk
·
Desk
·
Scanner only
·
Back to feed
How we score
- Entry is the Binance USDT-M last price when the signal is stored.
- Horizon depends on the signal timeframe: M15 → 4h, H1 → 8h, H4 → 24h, D1 → 72h (other TFs have a matching wait; default 12h).
- Outcome % is
((mark − entry) / entry) × 100, then flipped for Short so a move in the trade’s favor is positive.
- Hit rate is scored rows with outcome % > 0, divided by all scored rows. A flat 0% counts as scored, not a win.
- Mean is the average of those signed outcome % values.
The Live column on the feed is the current mark vs entry and is not the official score. Extra snapshots (about 4h and 24h after ingest, plus max adverse / favorable from klines) are diagnostics — they do not change hit rate.
By timeframe
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| H1 | 64 | 42.2% | -0.64% |
| H4 | 57 | 47.4% | +0.03% |
| M15 | 48 | 56.3% | +1.41% |
By side
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Long | 90 | 52.2% | +2.24% |
| Short | 79 | 43.0% | -2.20% |
By source
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Scanner | 169 | 47.9% | +0.17% |
By oscillator
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| RSI | 143 | 45.5% | -0.17% |
| MACD | 26 | 61.5% | +2.00% |
By kind
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| regular | 102 | 52.0% | +0.67% |
| hidden | 67 | 41.8% | -0.61% |