Accuracy
Mark-to-market vs Binance USDT-M last price at ingest. This is not a take-profit / stop-loss backtest.
44.4%
hit rate
-1.82%
mean at horizon
-1.28%
mean at 4h
153
scored / 154
Accuracy desk
All scored
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Quiet desk
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Desk
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Scanner only
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Back to feed
How we score
- Entry is the Binance USDT-M last price when the signal is stored.
- Horizon depends on the signal timeframe: M15 → 4h, H1 → 8h, H4 → 24h, D1 → 72h (other TFs have a matching wait; default 12h).
- Outcome % is
((mark − entry) / entry) × 100, then flipped for Short so a move in the trade’s favor is positive.
- Hit rate is scored rows with outcome % > 0, divided by all scored rows. A flat 0% counts as scored, not a win.
- Mean is the average of those signed outcome % values.
The Live column on the feed is the current mark vs entry and is not the official score. Extra snapshots (about 4h and 24h after ingest, plus max adverse / favorable from klines) are diagnostics — they do not change hit rate.
By timeframe
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| M15 | 88 | 40.9% | -2.49% |
| H1 | 38 | 50.0% | -2.51% |
| H4 | 22 | 50.0% | +1.99% |
| H12 | 5 | 40.0% | -1.49% |
By side
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Long | 78 | 41.0% | -1.97% |
| Short | 75 | 48.0% | -1.66% |
By source
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Desk | 111 | 43.2% | -2.36% |
| Scanner | 42 | 47.6% | -0.38% |
By oscillator
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| unspecified | 111 | 43.2% | -2.36% |
| RSI | 32 | 37.5% | -3.27% |
| MACD | 10 | 80.0% | +8.87% |
By kind
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| regular | 109 | 45.0% | -1.60% |
| hidden | 26 | 53.8% | +1.10% |
| unspecified | 18 | 27.8% | -7.37% |