Accuracy
Mark-to-market vs Binance USDT-M last price at ingest. This is not a take-profit / stop-loss backtest.
46.6%
hit rate
-0.86%
mean at horizon
-0.09%
mean at 4h
283
scored / 299
Accuracy desk
All scored
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Quiet desk
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Desk
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Scanner only
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Back to feed
How we score
- Entry is the Binance USDT-M last price when the signal is stored.
- Horizon depends on the signal timeframe: M15 → 4h, H1 → 8h, H4 → 24h, D1 → 72h (other TFs have a matching wait; default 12h).
- Outcome % is
((mark − entry) / entry) × 100, then flipped for Short so a move in the trade’s favor is positive.
- Hit rate is scored rows with outcome % > 0, divided by all scored rows. A flat 0% counts as scored, not a win.
- Mean is the average of those signed outcome % values.
The Live column on the feed is the current mark vs entry and is not the official score. Extra snapshots (about 4h and 24h after ingest, plus max adverse / favorable from klines) are diagnostics — they do not change hit rate.
By timeframe
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| H1 | 102 | 46.1% | -0.28% |
| H4 | 93 | 44.1% | -1.60% |
| M15 | 87 | 49.4% | -0.77% |
By side
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Long | 146 | 49.3% | -0.15% |
| Short | 137 | 43.8% | -1.61% |
By source
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Scanner | 195 | 41.5% | -1.16% |
| Desk | 82 | 58.5% | -0.25% |
| Desk + scanner | 6 | 50.0% | +0.56% |
By oscillator
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| RSI | 175 | 40.0% | -1.46% |
| unspecified | 82 | 58.5% | -0.25% |
| MACD | 26 | 53.8% | +1.27% |
By kind
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| regular | 155 | 41.9% | -1.61% |
| hidden | 109 | 49.5% | -0.04% |
| unspecified | 19 | 68.4% | +0.60% |