Accuracy
Mark-to-market vs Binance USDT-M last price at ingest. This is not a take-profit / stop-loss backtest.
49.3%
hit rate
+0.16%
mean at horizon
-0.17%
mean at 4h
150
scored / 462
Accuracy desk
All scored
·
Quiet desk
·
Desk
·
Scanner only
·
Back to feed
How we score
- Entry is the Binance USDT-M last price when the signal is stored.
- Horizon depends on the signal timeframe: M15 → 4h, H1 → 8h, H4 → 24h, D1 → 72h (other TFs have a matching wait; default 12h).
- Outcome % is
((mark − entry) / entry) × 100, then flipped for Short so a move in the trade’s favor is positive.
- Hit rate is scored rows with outcome % > 0, divided by all scored rows. A flat 0% counts as scored, not a win.
- Mean is the average of those signed outcome % values.
The Live column on the feed is the current mark vs entry and is not the official score. Extra snapshots (about 4h and 24h after ingest, plus max adverse / favorable from klines) are diagnostics — they do not change hit rate.
By timeframe
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| M15 | 87 | 44.8% | -0.43% |
| H1 | 45 | 51.1% | -1.12% |
| H4 | 17 | 64.7% | +6.46% |
By side
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Long | 86 | 43.0% | +0.95% |
| Short | 64 | 57.8% | -0.91% |
By source
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| Scanner | 87 | 46.0% | +0.69% |
| Desk | 52 | 57.7% | -0.44% |
| Desk + scanner | 11 | 36.4% | -1.22% |
By oscillator
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| RSI | 84 | 46.4% | +0.71% |
| unspecified | 52 | 57.7% | -0.44% |
| MACD | 14 | 35.7% | -0.96% |
By kind
| Bucket | Scored | Hit rate | Mean |
|---|
| regular | 70 | 52.9% | +0.59% |
| hidden | 51 | 41.2% | -0.46% |
| unspecified | 29 | 55.2% | +0.20% |